The shocking forecast reveals neither the European People’s Party (EPP) nor the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) will gain the majority in the next election. The two groups, historically the strongest in the European Parliament, could see their support eroded by populist and eurosceptic parties, which look set to swoop many of 705 seats up for grabs. The EPP would lose 34 seats, going from the 217 gained in 2014 to 183, and the S&D as many as 51, from 186 to 135, according to the projection.
The group gathering MEPs from Conservative parties across the EU, the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) would also lose seats, from 75 to 51, alongside with the Greens, from 52 to 45 seats.
The starkly eurosceptic Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy, led by Mr Farage and composed mainly by former UKIP and M5S MEPs, could gain 43 seats from the previous 41.
Anti-immigration Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF), born from the alliance of former leader of the French National Front Marine Le Pen and Geert Wilders, leader of Dutch Party for Freedom, could gather 22 seats and jump from 37 to 59 MEPs.
Mr Salvini’s Lega, member of the ENF, would be one of the parties gaining the most from the May election.
According to the European Parliament, Mr Salvini will get as much as 32.6 percent of the Italian votes, which would grant the party 27 seats, 21 more than the one it currently holds.
In the national election of March 4 2018, Mr Salvini obtained 17 percent and entered the Government thanks to an alliance with the M5S, which got 32.66 percent.
The M5S has been losing consensus ever since, national polls have shown, and it looks set to reach the 25.7 percent in May.
The European Parliament’s projection is based on national polls analysing how the parties will perform in the single state members of the EU.
This election, which will take place in the EU27 between May 23 to May 26, is scheduled to be the first one without the UK – unless Brexit is delayed.
EU citizens were first given the chance to elect MEPs in 1979, six years after Britain joined the bloc.
(Additional reporting by Maria Ortega)